COVID-19 (SARS-Cov-2)

The COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020

The focus of this site is not to provide information on what to do about the virus.   For information about the virus as information is changing rapidly please refer to the World Health Organization (W.H.O),the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) or your local health authority.  

There are also many create sources of information, the information presented here is based on the reported data per country/territory/state, but presented with an alternative viewpoint with the intention to help broaden the comprehension of the virus progression, and to understand when we have met 'steady state'.


Additional data sources:
Current map and data from the John Hokins University.
Worldometers

References:

Observational statement:

Through May 9th 2020 since April 15th, global case count has increased 500k every six to seven days

Some of this will be due to increased testing but there remains a significant rate of new infection.

History summary:

  • 20-Jan-2020, First cases outside of China confirmed, USA and South Korea confirm first cases
  • 20-Jan-2020, Human to human transmission confirmed by the W.H.O
  • 23-Jan-2020, China announces lock down of Hubei province (Wuhan is largest city within the province), province isolated from rest of China by 27-Jan-2020
  • 23-Jan-2020, The W.H.O estimate the R0 (replication number) to be between 1.4 and 2.5
  • 24-Jan-2020, First case in Europe confirmed (in France)
  • 30-Jan-2020, The W.H.O declare PHEIC (Public Health Emergency of International Concern)
  • 31-Jan-2020, Month end: All deaths related to COVID-19 were inside China, and mostly inside Hubei province
  • 01-Feb-2020, First deaths reported outside of China
  • 04-Feb-2020, China internally isolated all provinces (completed by 04-Feb-2020)
  • 10-Feb-2020, China reporting method changed to included CD (CD means "Clinically Diagnosed" and is not subject to explicit COVID-19 test), reported cases rose per the change of assessment rules
  • 21-Feb-2020, US Stock market rapidly declines, falls from peak of 29,568.57 (from 18-Feb)
  • 28-Feb-2020, California declares a State of Emergency
  • 29-Feb-2020, COVID-19 cases confirmed in 200 countries/territories globally
  • 01-Mar-2020, First death related to COVID-19 recorded in the USA (subsequent analysis speculates first US death could have been 06-Feb-2020)
  • 11-Mar-2020, the W.H.O classifies COVID-19 (SARS-Cov-2) as a Global Pandemic
  • 15-Mar-2020, US FEMA and US President Donald Trump declare a US National Emergency
  • 18-Mar-2020, US Stock market reaches 3 year low of 18,591.93
  • 24-Mar-2020, UK implements national lockdown (schools had been closed since 20-Mar-2020)
  • 26-Mar-2020, Global cases break 0.5 million
  • 26-Mar-2020, US overtakes Italy to be the country with most cases
  • 29-Mar-2020, New Zealand closes borders, country isolated per policy
  • 02-Apr-2020, Global cases break 1.0 million (7 days after breaking 0.5 million)
  • 09-Apr-2020, Global cases break 1.5 million (7 days after breaking 1.0 million)
  • 10-Apr-2020, Cases in USA break 0.5 million (22 days after breaking 10,000 cases)
  • 15-Apr-2020, Global cases break 2.0 million (6 days after breaking 1.5 million)
  • 17-Apr-2020, China re-evaluated its death counts and numbers were adjusted 50% up. The specific dates that patients died is not known
  • 21-Apr-2020, Global cases break 2.5 million (6 days after breaking 2.0 million)
  • 27-Apr-2020, Global cases break 3.0 million (6 days after breaking 2.5 million)
  • 28-Apr-2020, Cases in USA break 1.0 million (18 days after breaking 0.5 million), US Death count exceeds 58,218 (the recorded count of US deaths in Vietnam War)
  • 03-May-2020, Global cases break 3.5 million (6 days after breaking 3.0 million)
  • 09-May-2020, Global cases break 4.0 million (6 days after breaking 3.5 million)
  • 15-May-2020, Global cases break 4.5 million (6 days after breaking 4.0 million)

Case history summary for reported deaths:

  • 10-Feb-2020, Global death count breaks 1,000
  • 18-Feb-2020, Global death count breaks 2,000
  • 01-Mar-2020, Global death count breaks 3,000
  • 13-Mar-2020, Global death count breaks 5,000
  • 19-Mar-2020, Global death count breaks 10,000
  • 27-Mar-2020, Global death count breaks 25,000
  • 02-Apr-2020, Global death count breaks 50,000
  • 10-Apr-2020, Global death count breaks 100,000
  • 25-Apr-2020, Global death count breaks 200,000
  • 14-May-2020, Global death count breaks 300,000

The latest data assessment follows. Observationally as of 09-May-2020 China, South Korea, Swizterland, Australia and Spain have reached a position of stability. Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland and France are close to stability (a level of control on increased cases and deaths).

KeyDescription
RedThe value is greater than the average change of the prior most recent three days change
YellowThe value is less than the average change of the prior most recent three days change, but greater then a 'green' criterion
Light GreenValue change is less than 1% of recently reported cases (prior three days)
Bold GreenValue change is less than 0.5% of recently reported cases (prior three days)
BlueOccasionally there is a data adjustment reducing counts
General observation, in all countries with small number of cases where there is no back to back daily change the assessment trend to green after three days of no change per the generic algorithmic assessment


Also see Summary (updated daily).

Latest assessment (updated each Saturday)

Total confirmed cases
Actual cases period Latest assessment (updated each Saturday)
Cases with outcome of Death
Outcome of death, period Latest assessment (updated each Saturday)Top (view color key)

NOTE: On 17-Apr-2020 China re-evaluated is death counts and numbers were adjusted 50% up. The specific dates that patients died is not known

Summary of latest data

Summary of latest dataTop
 
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